Predictability of oceanic circulations

نویسنده

  • Christine Bernier
چکیده

In this paper, we study the Navier-Stokes equation in which the unknown functions are the vorticity and the streamfunction. Our goal is to estimate the long-time innuence of a small error in the initial data. In order to do this, we write down the symmetrized linearized Navier-Stokes equation and we estimate the eigenvalues of the corresponding operator. A comparison between these estimates and the numerical value of the eigenvalues is proposed. RRsumm : Dans ce rapport, on considdre l''quation de Navier-Stokes, avec pour fonctions inconnues la vorticitt et la fonction de courant. Notre but est d'estimer l'innuence long terme d'une petite perturbation des conditions initiales. Pour cela, nous crivons l''quation linnarisse et symmmtrisse, et nous estimons les valeurs propres de l'oprateur correpondant. Une comparaison entre ces estimations et les valeurs nummriques est proposse.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Predictability horizon of oceanic rogue waves

Prediction is a central goal and a yet-unresolved challenge in the investigation of oceanic rogue waves. Here we define a horizon of predictability for oceanic rogue waves and derive, via extensive computational experiments, a statistically converged predictability time scale for these structures. We show that this time scale is a function of the sea state (i.e., severity of the ambient ocean w...

متن کامل

Decadal variability and predictability in themidlatitude ocean { atmosphere

The coupled ocean{atmosphere interaction and predictability associated with the tropical El Ni~ no phenomenon has motivated researchers to seek analogous phenomena in the midlatitudes as well. Are there midlatitude coupled ocean{atmosphere modes? Is there signiicant predictability in the midlatitudes? The authors address these questions in the broader context of trying to understand the mechani...

متن کامل

Sensitivity of Oceanic Rogue Waves Predictions to Measurements Uncertainties

Here we pose and answer the question of predictability of oceanic rogue waves: “How soon can we predict a rogue wave?”. We answer this question by considering, in its most general form, the governing Laplace’s equation with fully nonlinear boundary conditions. We look into a large number of rogue wave events, and discovered a statistically converged predictability time-scales which is a functio...

متن کامل

Dynamics and Predictability of Stommel's box model: A phase space perspective with implications for decadal climate variability

The dynamics and predictability of Stommel's (1961) box model of the thermohaline circulation is studied. This nonlinear model with idealized geometry of the North Atlantic is solved exactly. A phase space analysis of the model reveals that the optimal perturbation a ecting long-term climate variability is provided by high latitude haline forcing in the Atlantic ocean, although this perturbatio...

متن کامل

Eulerian And Lagrangian Predictability Of Oceanic Flows

Our work has a number of objectives: • To determine the predictability time scales of the meandering of oceanic fronts • To determine the ways in which predictability in such a flow is lost, the physical processes responsible, and the sites of most rapid error growth • To develop simple, efficient data assimilation schemes that can be used to forecast the behavior of such fronts • To develop a ...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 1995